NHL Advanced Stats — GAR, WAR, Expected Goals
Hockey Alchemy is an advanced NHL analytics platform: Goals Above Replacement (GAR), Wins Above Replacement (WAR), expected goals (xG), RAPM, Elo-based power rankings, Stanley Cup odds, and prospect pipeline coverage for the 2025-26 season.
Top Skaters by GAR — 2025-26
| # | Player | Team | Pos | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cole Caufield | MTL | LW | 33.7 |
| 2 | Macklin Celebrini | SJS | C | 29.3 |
| 3 | Quinn Hughes | MIN | LD | 28.7 |
| 4 | Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 28.5 |
| 5 | Zach Werenski | CBJ | LD | 28.0 |
| 6 | Evan Bouchard | EDM | RD | 27.5 |
| 7 | Tage Thompson | BUF | RW | 27.2 |
| 8 | Nikita Kucherov | TBL | RW | 26.9 |
| 9 | Nathan MacKinnon | COL | C | 25.7 |
| 10 | Nick Suzuki | MTL | C | 24.4 |
| 11 | Lane Hutson | MTL | RD | 24.3 |
| 12 | Dylan Guenther | UTA | RW | 24.2 |
| 13 | Jack Eichel | VGK | C | 24.0 |
| 14 | Jason Robertson | DAL | LW | 23.6 |
| 15 | Alex DeBrincat | DET | LW | 22.8 |
| 16 | Nikolaj Ehlers | CAR | LW | 21.9 |
| 17 | Cutter Gauthier | ANA | RW | 21.6 |
| 18 | Rasmus Dahlin | BUF | D | 21.6 |
| 19 | Seth Jarvis | CAR | RW | 20.8 |
| 20 | Cale Makar | COL | RD | 20.4 |
Top Goalies by GSAx — 2025-26
| # | Goalie | Team | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 34.8 |
| 2 | Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 29.6 |
| 3 | Logan Thompson | WSH | 24.1 |
| 4 | Jakub Dobes | MTL | 22.8 |
| 5 | Scott Wedgewood | COL | 19.0 |
NHL Teams
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
NHL Games — Jun 09, 2026
| Away | Home | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | @ | Vegas Golden Knights | Preview |
Recent Analysis — The Lab
How We Calculate NHL Power Rankings: The Elo System Behind Hockey Alchemy
A transparent look at the Elo rating system that powers our NHL power rankings, game predictions, and Stanley Cup odds. K=12, home ice = 50 points, 30% regression to the mean — and three different ways we account for margin of victory.
How Predictive Is Our GAR Model? A Comparison Across Three Metrics
Benchmarking Hockey Alchemy's GAR against Evolving Hockey and HockeyStats / TopDownHockey across standings R², year-over-year repeatability, and player-rank agreement. Across 16 seasons we lead on standings prediction and YoY stability — and intentionally diverge on individual rankings.