NHL Advanced Stats — GAR, WAR, Expected Goals
Hockey Alchemy is an advanced NHL analytics platform: Goals Above Replacement (GAR), Wins Above Replacement (WAR), expected goals (xG), RAPM, Elo-based power rankings, Stanley Cup odds, and prospect pipeline coverage for the 2026-27 season.
Top Skaters by GAR — 2026-27
| # | Player | Team | Pos | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 5.6 |
| 2 | Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | LW | 4.7 |
| 3 | Leon Draisaitl | EDM | C | 4.1 |
| 4 | Brandon Hagel | TBL | LW | 3.9 |
| 5 | Andrei Svechnikov | CAR | RW | 3.7 |
| 6 | Nathan MacKinnon | COL | C | 3.6 |
| 7 | Auston Matthews | TOR | C | 3.5 |
| 8 | Quinn Hughes | MIN | LD | 3.4 |
| 9 | Matthew Tkachuk | FLA | RW | 3.4 |
| 10 | Jack Eichel | VGK | C | 3.3 |
| 11 | Evan Bouchard | EDM | RD | 3.3 |
| 12 | Jack Hughes | NJD | C | 3.2 |
| 13 | Macklin Celebrini | SJS | C | 3.2 |
| 14 | Mark Stone | VGK | RW | 3.0 |
| 15 | Vasily Podkolzin | EDM | LW | 3.0 |
| 16 | Brady Tkachuk | FLA | LW | 2.9 |
| 17 | Kyle Connor | WPG | LW | 2.8 |
| 18 | Leo Carlsson | ANA | C | 2.8 |
| 19 | Cole Perfetti | WPG | LW | 2.6 |
| 20 | Jack Quinn | BUF | RW | 2.6 |
Top Goalies by GSAx — 2026-27
| # | Goalie | Team | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 8.1 |
| 2 | Linus Ullmark | OTT | 8.0 |
| 3 | Jake Oettinger | DAL | 7.9 |
| 4 | Ilya Sorokin | NYI | 7.5 |
| 5 | Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 6.3 |
NHL Teams
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
NHL Games — Oct 19, 2026
| Away | Home | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | @ | New York Rangers | Preview |
| Colorado Avalanche | @ | Philadelphia Flyers | Preview |
| San Jose Sharks | @ | Toronto Maple Leafs | Preview |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | @ | Utah Mammoth | Preview |
Recent Analysis — Notebook
Explaining Our Power Rankings
Readers asked why our power rankings still count last season eight games in. We replayed 13 seasons to find out what predicts the rest of a season: the record so far is the weakest option, dropping last season makes the rankings worse, and this season's 5v5 expected goals make them better. Here is the model, and what we changed.
Inside the NHL EDGE Goal Visualizer: How We Scrape, Clean and Use Tracking Data
The NHL publishes about fourteen seconds of player tracking for every goal, ten frames a second. We hold 26,237 of them. How we fetch it, the four bugs we shipped handling it - none of which ever errored - what it is good for, and the one thing it can never do.
Our 2026-27 NHL Projection, and Exactly How Much to Discount It
Carolina 111.6 points, Vancouver 79.1 - and luck alone gives the average team an 80% range 21.8 points wide, two-thirds of the league's entire spread. Our measured error says the honest range is closer to 32. The projection beats the honest baseline, and here is exactly how much of the table you should refuse to read as a ranking.