NHL Advanced Stats — GAR, WAR, Expected Goals
Hockey Alchemy is an advanced NHL analytics platform: Goals Above Replacement (GAR), Wins Above Replacement (WAR), expected goals (xG), RAPM, Elo-based power rankings, Stanley Cup odds, and prospect pipeline coverage for the 2026-27 season.
Top Skaters by GAR — 2026-27
| # | Player | Team | Pos | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connor McDavid | EDM | C | 13.2 |
| 2 | Leon Draisaitl | EDM | C | 8.1 |
| 3 | Evan Bouchard | EDM | RD | 7.6 |
| 4 | Auston Matthews | TOR | C | 7.3 |
| 5 | Kirill Kaprizov | MIN | LW | 7.0 |
| 6 | Quinn Hughes | MIN | LD | 6.8 |
| 7 | Nathan MacKinnon | COL | C | 6.8 |
| 8 | Jack Hughes | NJD | C | 6.3 |
| 9 | Brandon Hagel | TBL | LW | 5.6 |
| 10 | Brady Tkachuk | FLA | LW | 5.5 |
| 11 | Artturi Lehkonen | COL | LW | 5.4 |
| 12 | Logan Stankoven | CAR | C | 5.3 |
| 13 | Cale Makar | COL | RD | 5.3 |
| 14 | Macklin Celebrini | SJS | C | 5.2 |
| 15 | Leo Carlsson | ANA | C | 5.2 |
| 16 | Logan Cooley | UTA | C | 5.1 |
| 17 | Jack Eichel | VGK | C | 5.1 |
| 18 | David Pastrnak | BOS | RW | 5.0 |
| 19 | Matthew Tkachuk | FLA | RW | 4.9 |
| 20 | Kyle Connor | WPG | LW | 4.7 |
Top Goalies by GSAx — 2026-27
| # | Goalie | Team | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesper Wallstedt | MIN | 17.6 |
| 2 | Jacob Fowler | MTL | 14.1 |
| 3 | Juuse Saros | NSH | 10.5 |
| 4 | Jeremy Swayman | BOS | 8.6 |
| 5 | Joel Hofer | STL | 8.4 |
NHL Teams
Eastern Conference
Western Conference
NHL Games — Nov 14, 2026
Recent Analysis — Notebook
How We Rate Players in the First Month of a Season
A month of games is not enough to rate anyone, so we do not pretend it is. An early-season GAR is last season's rating, discounted, plus the little that has happened since. Here is what the number means in October, why defencemen look quiet, and what changes at 20 games.
Where Does Nikita Kucherov Fit? The Trade Request from Three Sides
Nikita Kucherov wants out of Tampa Bay at 33. Our numbers say he isn't declining, elite forwards age slowly, and the right fit is a team that can put a defensive winger next to him.
Connor Bedard's Shot in Stride, and Why He Isn't a Proven Sniper Yet
NHL tracking shows Connor Bedard scores on the move and from range more than Matthews, Pastrnak, Caufield or Kaprizov, and his snap shot beats expected more than any of theirs. Close to the net, he is still an average finisher.